Aint No Right

Pandemonium wrote: ↑

Fri Oct 02, 2020 10:05 am

I guess Trumps diagnosis puts down next week's debate, maybe the rest of the debates if he gets seriously ill.

As far as how this affects his chances of reelection, I think it can swing either way - if it turns out to be a mild case and he recovers quickly, it could bolster what he's said and many supporters think, that the vast majority of positive cases are not much more then a bad flu, just like Trump has been claiming and could increase his chances of a win next month.

Bandit72 wrote: ↑

Wed Oct 07, 2020 10:29 am

I bet you a million pounds it was one big publicity stunt.

Hype wrote: ↑

Wed Oct 07, 2020 11:38 am

Bandit72 wrote: ↑

Wed Oct 07, 2020 10:29 am

I bet you a million pounds it was one big publicity stunt.

I entertained this thought briefly before watching video of him speaking. He was clearly under the weather. And given the number of people now testing positive in the WH, there's no doubt this all happened, and happened precisely because the administration has utterly failed to understand or care about this pandemic.

Pandemonium wrote: ↑

Fri Oct 09, 2020 10:14 am

I've been wrong regarding Trump in the past (see the first few pages of this thread for example) but I really feel he's done and he's going to get creamed next month in the election. Unfortunately for him, the "October Surprise(s)" have not been in his favor. He may have had a chance leading up to the Covid outbreak in the White House, but that and his handling of it, his awful, off-putting debate performance and now the Right Wing militia group's plot against Michigan Governor Whitmer has to have moved the needle significantly against him for the fence sitters. The mainstream media is totally in lockstep against him at this point daily hammering his massive, easy to criticize deficiencies. The general public is just fatigued to the breaking point from everything that's gone down this year (I know I am) to the point that anything is better then what we have right now.

mockbee wrote: ↑

Mon Oct 19, 2020 8:25 pm

Well, one thing is for sure, guaranteed.

No matter who wins the election, 20% or more of people are going to have serious mental health problems.....

Pandemonium wrote: ↑

Tue Oct 20, 2020 1:10 pm

mockbee wrote: ↑

Mon Oct 19, 2020 8:25 pm

Well, one thing is for sure, guaranteed.

No matter who wins the election, 20% or more of people are going to have serious mental health problems.....

"Are" going to have....? I think at the very least that number has long ago been exceeded. You're going to get a good taste of just how far gone a huge number of Americans are who will lose their minds when the results of next month's election is finally revealed regardless of which side wins.

Poll: 2 in 3 voters say it's 'likely' that people lie when taking political surveys
About two in three voters say they think it is likely that a significant number of people are not truthful when responding to political surveys, a new Hill-HarrisX poll finds.

Sixty-six percent of registered voters in the Aug. 29-31 survey said it is either very or somewhat likely that a significant number of people lie when talking political surveys, compared to 34 percent who said it is unlikely.


The survey found broad agreement across demographic groups over how people approach political surveys, though Democrats in the poll were less likely than Republicans to say that people lie in polls.

Sixty percent of Democratic voters said they think people lie when responding to political surveys, compared to 70 percent of Republican voters and 67 percent of independent voters who said the same.

The survey follows post-convention polling that has shown Democratic nominee Joe Biden maintaining a lead over President Trump nationally, though Trump has seen his numbers tick up in some areas.

Some political observers have questioned whether polls undercount GOP support and if some respondents may not fully reveal their support for Trump when taking a survey, making his support appear lower than in reality.

An Aug. 19-27 study conducted by CloudResearch, an online market research and data collection company, found that roughly 11 percent of Republican voters and 10 percent of independent voters said they would not report their true opinions about their preferred presidential candidate on telephone polls.

Emily Ekins, research fellow and director of polling at the Cato Institute, noted that some differences may also emerge when a person is speaking with a pollster on the telephone compared to completing an online survey.

"People feel social desirability bias where they might lie about certain opinions they might have or who they're going to vote for," Ekins told Hill.TV.

"But a lot of our surveys today are conducted online including this survey and in those cases I think there's a lot less evidence that people are going to be lying about their responses when there's no one else on the other line," she added.

The Hill-HarrisX poll was conducted online among 971 registered voters. It has a margin of error of 3.1 percentage points.

—Gabriela Schulte

Hype wrote: ↑

Sun Sep 06, 2020 11:18 am

b) In all total, I have a bet with Hype for $60 for a book from Amazon of one's choice, for: 1) Flat out Biden electoral win, or 2) 46+ state electoral and +55% pop vote for Trump. Also a couple avatar swaps here for a month. Do I really think Trump will get 45+ states, hmmmm....maybe, maybe not. I think I'll survive.

If Trump gets 46+ states, we all lose a lot more than $60.