With Biden and Bernie pissed/cheated and not running third party and Bloomberg out, not running third.
That is going to be really really rough.....

Can we resurrect Ross Perot?mockbee wrote: ↑Wed Feb 19, 2020 6:22 amI still think it will be Reagan like. It will depend on the Third party component though. Bloomberg or Bernie going rogue.
With Biden and Bernie pissed/cheated and not running third party and Bloomberg out, not running third.
That is going to be really really rough.....![]()
I don't know about that. I think Trump is awful for domestic stuff. But his foreign affairs is actually pretty interesting, maybe it's just luck.Hype wrote: ↑Wed Feb 19, 2020 6:14 amIf the choice is Trump vs. Bloomberg, probably Bloomberg would be better for the future of the nation, since he doesn't seem to have the same unfettered, stupid, authoritarian streak Trump does. Plus it would avoid emboldening the worst elements of the Republican party into thinking the destructive party could continue.
I think a woman can win. Not Warren or Klobuchar though. Clinton could have won if she campaigned smarter in the last couple months. Agreed though on the pervasive misogyny..I think Bernie is not likely to win against Trump either, though. And I still think, as I always have, that any woman would have a hard time against Trump because the American electorate still contains a large and unchecked misogynist element (in exactly the same way it contains a height bias; even though Clinton received more votes than Trump, these were regionally locked in precisely the way you'd expect given widespread misogyny outside of coastal cities).
Barely. https://www.nytimes.com/2020/02/14/us/p ... -barr.htmlthe system seems to be holding for the most part.
For sure a major concern. The corporate/anti-choice/environmentally destructive courts is the biggest concern.....Hype wrote: ↑Wed Feb 19, 2020 6:43 amBarely. https://www.nytimes.com/2020/02/14/us/p ... -barr.htmlthe system seems to be holding for the most part.
If Ginsberg dies in the near future (which is totally possible), the Supreme Court is fucked, and it's unclear how bad this will get for challenges to previous court decisions like Roe v. Wade, etc.
Thanks for posting this.Artemis wrote: ↑Thu Jun 11, 2020 7:33 amThe Economist has a new forecasting model they've put out and will update daily.
Today, they give Biden a 82% chance of winning.
https://projects.economist.com/us-2020- ... /president
This link explains how their forecasting model works.
https://projects.economist.com/us-2020- ... this-works
https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archi ... ls/613651/
White Voters Are Abandoning Trump
And they’re doing so for a surprising reason.
JUNE 30, 2020
David A. Graham
Staff writer at The Atlantic
For most of the past three years, the only thing more futile than looking for Donald Trump to pivot was expecting the American people to do so. No matter how successful the president was, or, more often, how chaotic and disorderly his administration was, nothing seemed to be able to shake up people’s views of Trump.
Popular approval of Trump hovered in the same narrow range, roughly from 39 to 45 percent, through Charlottesville and tax reform, supposed border caravans and mass shootings, Special Counsel Robert Mueller’s report and impeachment.
As the election approaches, the president’s approval rating becomes less important than how he’s polling against his challenger. And in the past few weeks, something has shifted. After months of Joe Biden, the presumptive Democratic nominee, leading by single digits, a series of polls https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epoll ... -6247.html has recently shown him building a sizable lead. Surveys from The New York Times/Siena College and Harvard/Harris have Trump trailing by 14 and 12 points, respectively. A series of swing-state polls shows Biden tied or leading in states that Trump won comfortably in 2016.
As pollsters are at pains to point out, polls are snapshots and not forecasts; Biden’s lead could dissipate, though this race has been unusually stable so far. Contrary to Trump’s protestations, Biden’s lead as it exists now is real—and given how hard it has been for anything to dent Trump’s carapace, it’s worth examining closely. Stranger still, the impetus appears to be race—something that has been both Trump’s Achilles’ heel and his secret weapon throughout his political career. For some reason, it’s affecting his political standing differently than it has before.
. . .
I see him very effectively roiling the political/cultural left. Making it de facto center. Not on board with them? You are a Trump supporter. Making that, falsly, a "safe" place to stand is his stated goal. Making writing off white working class entirety, a okay. No problem with the left. They feel safe with actually saying that 'white working class' is offensive and need to be purged from discussions..... Even though they are 40% of the US voting population. This does not go unnoticed. That's a lot of people......
Not trying to change your mind. Just being clear.[Symone] Sanders has pushed the campaign to be wary of language that frustrates black activists, for example urging staffers to avoid the term “white working class,” according to a person familiar with the discussions.
https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.washin ... utType=amp
I know you'll take the other side...that's fine...we'll know soon enough