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Re: Poll: Biden or Sanders has better chance vs. Trump?
Posted: Sun Feb 23, 2020 6:25 am
by mockbee
Bernie will be fine in Texas. I now think he'll win.
I am very curious how the black vote goes (both turnout and %) in South Carolina. Thats the turning point if there is one.
If he actually does acheive 1,991 delegates before convention, the DNC is finished, or will have to burn the place down.....
Re: Poll: Biden or Sanders has better chance vs. Trump?
Posted: Sun Feb 23, 2020 6:43 am
by SR
mockbee wrote: ↑Sun Feb 23, 2020 6:25 am
Bernie will be fine in Texas. I now think he'll win.
I am very curious how the black vote goes (both turnout and %) in South Carolina. Thats the turning point if there is one.
If he actually does acheive 1,991 delegates before convention, the DNC is finished, or will have to burn the place down.....
Translation: "I may nor be right, but I'm NEVER wrong".
Re: Poll: Biden or Sanders has better chance vs. Trump?
Posted: Sun Feb 23, 2020 6:58 am
by mockbee
That's sort of right.
Except that unless something changes, I am also right...
Re: Poll: Biden or Sanders has better chance vs. Trump?
Posted: Sun Feb 23, 2020 7:06 am
by Hype
mockbee wrote: ↑Sun Feb 23, 2020 6:58 am
That's sort of right.
Except that unless something changes, I am also right...
Can we just stick "wing" on the end of every time you say "right"?
Re: Poll: Biden or Sanders has better chance vs. Trump?
Posted: Sun Feb 23, 2020 7:19 am
by mockbee
Hype wrote: ↑Sun Feb 23, 2020 7:06 am
mockbee wrote: ↑Sun Feb 23, 2020 6:58 am
That's sort of right.
Except that unless something changes, I am also right...
Can we just stick "wing" on the end of every time you say "right"?
I'm left of you....
Cuba baby....
Re: Poll: Biden or Sanders has better chance vs. Trump?
Posted: Sun Feb 23, 2020 7:27 am
by Hype
mockbee wrote: ↑Sun Feb 23, 2020 7:19 am
Hype wrote: ↑Sun Feb 23, 2020 7:06 am
mockbee wrote: ↑Sun Feb 23, 2020 6:58 am
That's sort of right.
Except that unless something changes, I am also right...
Can we just stick "wing" on the end of every time you say "right"?
I'm left of you....
Cuba baby....
Maybe you're right.
Re: Poll: Biden or Sanders has better chance vs. Trump?
Posted: Sun Feb 23, 2020 7:35 am
by mockbee
I do admit I am all over the place. But I do feel pretty strongly there is a consistent/workable theme.
Re: Poll: Biden or Sanders has better chance vs. Trump?
Posted: Sun Feb 23, 2020 8:23 am
by mockbee
Hype wrote: ↑Sun Feb 23, 2020 7:27 am
mockbee wrote: ↑Sun Feb 23, 2020 7:19 am
Hype wrote: ↑Sun Feb 23, 2020 7:06 am
mockbee wrote: ↑Sun Feb 23, 2020 6:58 am
That's sort of right.
Except that unless something changes, I am also right...
Can we just stick "wing" on the end of every time you say "right"?
I'm left of you....
Cuba baby....
Maybe you're right.
LEFT!
Re: Poll: Biden or Sanders has better chance vs. Trump?
Posted: Sun Feb 23, 2020 8:42 am
by mockbee
SR wrote: ↑Sun Feb 23, 2020 6:43 am
mockbee wrote: ↑Sun Feb 23, 2020 6:25 am
Bernie will be fine in Texas. I now think he'll win.
I am very curious how the black vote goes (both turnout and %) in South Carolina. Thats the turning point if there is one.
If he actually does acheive 1,991 delegates before convention, the DNC is finished, or will have to burn the place down.....
Translation: "I may nor be right, but I'm NEVER wrong".
Where am I not "right"?
Just cause Bernie might get Texas and win the most delegates doesnt lock the nom....
Re: Poll: Biden or Sanders has better chance vs. Trump?
Posted: Sun Feb 23, 2020 8:37 pm
by Juana
mockbee wrote: ↑Sun Feb 23, 2020 6:25 am
Bernie will be fine in Texas. I now think he'll win.
I am very curious how the black vote goes (both turnout and %) in South Carolina. Thats the turning point if there is one.
If he actually does acheive 1,991 delegates before convention, the DNC is finished, or will have to burn the place down.....
Bernie will win TX hell he let Pinata Protest play his rally
Re: Poll: Biden or Sanders has better chance vs. Trump?
Posted: Mon Feb 24, 2020 6:09 am
by SR
mockbee wrote: ↑Sun Feb 23, 2020 8:42 am
SR wrote: ↑Sun Feb 23, 2020 6:43 am
mockbee wrote: ↑Sun Feb 23, 2020 6:25 am
Bernie will be fine in Texas. I now think he'll win.
I am very curious how the black vote goes (both turnout and %) in South Carolina. Thats the turning point if there is one.
If he actually does acheive 1,991 delegates before convention, the DNC is finished, or will have to burn the place down.....
Translation: "I may nor be right, but I'm NEVER wrong".
Where am I not "right"?
Just cause Bernie might get Texas and win the most delegates doesnt lock the nom....
You've been adamantly screaming Biden will win the nom for pages (with all the subtleness of a ball peen hammer bangin on balls)
Re: Poll: Biden or Sanders has better chance vs. Trump?
Posted: Mon Feb 24, 2020 9:37 am
by mockbee
SR wrote: ↑Mon Feb 24, 2020 6:09 am
mockbee wrote: ↑Sun Feb 23, 2020 8:42 am
SR wrote: ↑Sun Feb 23, 2020 6:43 am
mockbee wrote: ↑Sun Feb 23, 2020 6:25 am
Bernie will be fine in Texas. I now think he'll win.
I am very curious how the black vote goes (both turnout and %) in South Carolina. Thats the turning point if there is one.
If he actually does acheive 1,991 delegates before convention, the DNC is finished, or
will have to burn the place down 
.....
Translation: "I may nor be right, but I'm NEVER wrong".
Where am I not "right"?
Just cause Bernie might get Texas and win the most delegates doesnt lock the nom....
You've been adamantly screaming Biden will win the nom for pages (with all the subtleness of a ball peen hammer bangin on balls)
Yeah, nothings changed.
1991 "pledged" prior to convention doesnt mean automatic nomination.....
Half of 3,979 is 1,989.5. Democratic National Committee officials say that on the first ballot, a candidate must win one delegate more than that, or 1,990.5, which is rounded up to reach the magic number: 1,991. (If a candidate won 1,990 pledged delegates on the first ballot, D.N.C. officials say, that would not be sufficient.)
So, in summary, the quickest and least complicated way to win the nomination is for a candidate to secure 1,991 pledged delegates on the first ballot at the Democratic National Convention in July.
Just best practices...
Wait for Milwaukee, then tell me I'm wrong.
Maybe I need to be more blunt....
Re: Poll: Biden or Sanders has better chance vs. Trump?
Posted: Mon Feb 24, 2020 10:22 am
by chaos
This is Biden's third time running for President, and he has never won ONE primary/caucus.
A lot can happen between now and the convention. I really don't think Bernie will get the needed delegates or get the nomination at the convention.
Re: Poll: Biden or Sanders has better chance vs. Trump?
Posted: Mon Feb 24, 2020 10:30 am
by mockbee
chaos wrote: ↑Mon Feb 24, 2020 10:22 am
I really don't think Bernie will get the needed delegates or get the nomination at the convention.
Do you say that because you think his policies/campaigning is bad, or a critical mass of Democrats in the big states just aren't there to support him?
Just curious.
Re: Poll: Biden or Sanders has better chance vs. Trump?
Posted: Mon Feb 24, 2020 10:36 am
by chaos
Add up the number of people who support Biden, Klobuchar, Buttigieg, and Bloomberg. When some of these people start dropping out, I don't think their supporters are going to go over to Bernie's camp.
Re: Poll: Biden or Sanders has better chance vs. Trump?
Posted: Mon Feb 24, 2020 10:52 am
by mockbee
Yeah, I dont know the math on 1991. Like Bernie could get CA TX FL and various other "progressive" states and still not get there?
Well, I never said he WILL get 1991. Just he will be really close with Warren delegates AND delegates who just want to join a formidable candidate.
Re: Poll: Biden or Sanders has better chance vs. Trump?
Posted: Mon Feb 24, 2020 1:09 pm
by SR
I think Bernie has significant momentum in the race towards the nod right now. Bloomy and Biden in SC could chill the momentum, but even there I think Bernie will show well. He will absorb all of Warren's people once she's gone, and the never trumpers from the other camps. Many of the moderates are looking at '16 and saying....'look where moderation has gotten us'.
Re: Poll: Biden or Sanders has better chance vs. Trump?
Posted: Mon Feb 24, 2020 1:34 pm
by chaos
FYI - Bloomberg is not on the SC ballot.
Re: Poll: Biden or Sanders has better chance vs. Trump?
Posted: Mon Feb 24, 2020 2:16 pm
by SR
Ah, yes. Super T
Re: Poll: Biden or Sanders has better chance vs. Trump?
Posted: Sun Mar 01, 2020 4:38 pm
by chaos
Mockbee may be right since Mayor Pete dropped out before Super Tuesday.
Re: Poll: Biden or Sanders has better chance vs. Trump?
Posted: Mon Mar 02, 2020 12:06 pm
by mockbee
Re: Poll: Biden or Sanders has better chance vs. Trump?
Posted: Mon Mar 02, 2020 5:52 pm
by Artemis
I liked Amy, too bad she had to drop out. I don't like that she immediately backed Biden.
Re: Poll: Biden or Sanders has better chance vs. Trump?
Posted: Mon Mar 02, 2020 6:19 pm
by SR
Strap in. Should be quite a ride tomorrow. Kinda cool to actually have my vote count this go around. Sucks for the people (1 million here in Cali) who've already voted possibly for the drop outs.
Re: Poll: Biden or Sanders has better chance vs. Trump?
Posted: Mon Mar 02, 2020 7:23 pm
by mockbee
SR wrote: ↑Mon Mar 02, 2020 6:19 pm
Sucks for the people (1 million here in Cali) who've already voted possibly for the drop outs.
Yeah, that's sorta weird isn't it....?
Re: Poll: Biden or Sanders has better chance vs. Trump?
Posted: Mon Mar 02, 2020 8:17 pm
by Hype
I predict Biden will win the popular vote by, I don't know... a million votes? But all of those votes will be in California. Trump reelected. But not a landslide.
